Smoke and mirrors - Lies, damned lies and statistics

It is questionable whether the phrase "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." should be accurately attributed to Benjamin Disraeli, or Mark Twain, but no matter.

Rather, what really does matter is the use of statistics, and the control of numbers to add a level of persuasiveness to bolster weak arguments, or to cast a degree of doubt over an opponent's point of view.

This is particularly relevant in relation to political argument, and has been highlighted recently in connection with unemployment figures, inflation, crime, those receiving benefits, immigration … the list is endless, as each political party, organisation or cause attempts to manipulate information to suit their own often nefarious purposes.

I would argue that those of us amongst the electorate, who are after all often footing the bill for the production of these spurious documents, reports and consultations, should concentrate on the evidence behind the statistics; question, and if necessary, demand the answers. Only then will we be any nearer the real truth behind the smoke and mirrors games they play.

As an elected member, and also as a representative on a number of committees and boards, executive officers will frequently quote figures to justify their actions. Over the years I’ve been involved in the service standards inspection business I have gained a reputation for challenging the use of statistics, to good effect.

This is particularly so where planning applications are concerned, and the evidence, in relation to highways, flooding etc., is often very woolly indeed. When I am approached by local residents to help them overcome problems I always stress the need for evidence to back up their argument; you can be pretty sure that the so called professionals, in part due to harsh financial cut backs, will not have had the manpower to carry out the in-depth research and investigation we should expect.

Likewise, when providing development coaching and advice to employees, particularly for appeals hearings, it can be the hard evidence that produces the desired result.

So, the next time someone quotes statistics at you, dig deep and probe for the evidence behind them. It may yield surprising results.

And another thing, how can anyone ever give more than 100% effort to anything? I’d never, ever, trust anyone that says ‘I’ll give it 110%.’ It’s just not possible.